URINARY POST-TRANSLATIONALLY MODIFIED FETUIN-A TO CREATININE RATIO PREDICTS MORTALITY AND RENAL COMPOSITE OUTCOMES IN CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE

 

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https://storage.unitedwebnetwork.com/files/1099/a1b087a44b205876afad626c7d31ec57.pdf
URINARY POST-TRANSLATIONALLY MODIFIED FETUIN-A TO CREATININE RATIO PREDICTS MORTALITY AND RENAL COMPOSITE OUTCOMES IN CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE

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Chieh-Yen
Liu
Chieh-Yen Liu benjyliu@gmail.com National Cheng Kung University Hospital Internal Medicine Tainan Taiwan *
Chih-Hen Yu james609054@hotmail.com National Cheng Kung University Hospital Nephrology Tainan Taiwan -
Junne-Ming Sung jmsung@mail.ncku.edu.tw National Cheng Kung University Hospital Nephrology Tainan Taiwan -
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Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects over 10% of adults worldwide and is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Albuminuria and proteinuria are established prognostic markers but insufficiently reflect tubular and interstitial injury. Fetuin-A is a liver-derived glycoprotein regulating calcium-phosphate balance and inflammation. In CKD and dialysis patients, low serum Fetuin-A is linked to cardiovascular events and mortality but is easily influenced by inflammation and nutrition. In contrast, urinary post-translationally modified Fetuin-A (uPTM-FetA) fragments reflect tubular injury and fibrosis and show better predictive value for renal decline in diabetic and graft kidney disease than albuminuria. However, evidence in non-diabetic CKD and its link with long-term outcomes remains limited. This study evaluated whether urinary uPTM-FetA/creatinine ratio (UFC) predicts renal outcomes and mortality in CKD stages 2–4.

We conducted a prospective observational cohort of 139 adults (≥20 years) with CKD stages 2–4 at National Cheng Kung University Hospital from July 2019 to October 2022. uPTM-FetA was quantified by DNlite® IVD103 ELISA (Bio Preventive Medicine Corp., Taiwan) and expressed as UFC (ng/mg).
The primary endpoints were (1) a combined renal and mortality outcome, defined as all-cause death, sustained eGFR <10 mL/min/1.73 m², ≥40% eGFR decline, or initiation of dialysis/kidney transplantation, and (2) all-cause mortality. The secondary endpoint was the renal composite outcome.
Patients were followed for a median of 3.17 years (IQR 2.89–6.11). Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression analyses estimated event-free survival and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Mean age was 67.5 ± 11.9 years, baseline eGFR 31.9 ± 11.4 mL/min/1.73 m²; 27% had diabetes and 67% hypertension. Median UFC was 14.91 ng/mg. During follow-up, 59 patients (42%) had the primary combined outcome, including 13 deaths, 17 dialysis initiations, and 34 with sustained eGFR <10 mL/min/1.73 m²; 53 (38%) met the renal composite alone. Compared with the low UFC group (<14.91 ng/mg, n=65), the high UFC group (≥14.91 ng/mg, n=74) had poorer event-free survival (58.0 ± 3.1 vs. 66.9 ± 2.6 months; log-rank p=0.025). In univariate Cox models, high UFC predicted the combined outcome (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.23–3.63, p=0.006) and the renal composite (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.09–4.76, p=0.029). After adjustment for age, sex, and baseline eGFR, high UFC remained an independent predictor of the primary combined outcome (adjusted HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.18–3.55, p=0.011) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 4.08, 95% CI 1.07–15.55, p=0.039), while the secondary renal composite showed a similar but non-significant trend (HR 1.83, p=0.115). Baseline eGFR was a consistent protective factor (p<0.01).Table 1 Cox ModelsFig 1 Primary Outcome (mortality + renal outcomes)

Higher urinary uPTM-FetA/creatinine ratio (UFC) was independently associated with increased risks of the combined renal and mortality outcome and all-cause mortality in CKD stages 2–4. Reflecting tubular hypoxia and fibrosis, UFC may serve as a sensitive, non-invasive biomarker for early risk stratification and prognosis in CKD.

Kewords