Early evaluation of temporal trends in discard of deceased donor kidneys following the KDPI Policy revision in the United States

 

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Early evaluation of temporal trends in discard of deceased donor kidneys following the KDPI Policy revision in the United States

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Rikako
Oki
Rikako Oki oki.rikako@gmail.com Henry Ford Hospital Transplant Institute Detroit United States *
Madhab Ray mray10@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Nephrology Detroit United States -
Shunji Nagai snagai1@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery Detroit United States -
Atsushi Yoshida AYOSHID1@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery Detroit United States -
Marwan Abouljoud MABOULJ5@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery Detroit United States -
Rohini Prashar RPRASHA1@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Nephrology Detroit United States -
Rehan Ansari ransari2@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Nephrology Detroit United States -
Pritika Shrivastava pshriva1@hfhs.org Henry Ford Hospital Division of Nephrology Detroit United States -
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The deceased donor kidney discard rate in the United States increased from around 18-20% in 2000s to 25-28% by 2022-2023. On 10/31/2024, revised Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) was introduced, which excluded two factors: Black race, and   donor hepatitis C (HCV) status, to improve equity in organ allocation and reflect modern clinical evidence better. The policy change aimed to increase equity (so that donor kidneys are judged by biologic and clinical factors rather than proxies for race) and reduce non-use of otherwise viable kidneys. We examined the temporal trends in discard of deceased donor kidneys, including discard rate, discard reasons and risk factors for discard, following KDPI revision.

We analyze deceased donor kidneys recovered for transplantation from April 2024-April 2025, using the United Network for Organ Sharing database. The study period was divided into two phases, Period 1 (4/1/2024–10/30/2024) and Period 2 (10/31/2024–4/30/2025), to examine temporal changes in donor discard patterns. We investigated the risk factors associated with kidney discard in each period using a multivariable logistic regression model.

Figure1. Flow chart of the study population.Table1. Comparison of recovered donor characteristics and kidney discard rates/reasons between Period 1 and Period 2.During the study period, we identified 32,547 deceased donor kidneys procured from 16,364 donors, of which 9,680 (29.7%) kidneys were discarded. (Fig.1) There was no significant change in the discard rate between Period 1 and Period 2 (p=0.632). The discard rate of Black donors did not change between the two periods (p=0.364), nor did that of HCV-positive donors (p=0.726). The rate of procured organs with KDPI >85% increased from 16.9% in Period 1 to 19.5% in Period 2 (p<0.001), and the rate of kidney biopsy also increased (p<0.001, Table 1). The most common reason for discard in both periods was “no recipient location”, followed by “biopsy findings”.The multivariable logistic regression model demonstrated that in Period 1, HCV-positive donor status was a risk factor for discard (p=0.043), whereas it was no longer a risk factor in Period 2 (p=0.626). Black donor status was not associated with discard in either period. (Table2)

In the short term, KDPI policy change did not have an effect on discard rates, consistent with predictive models that show minimal or modest reductions in discard. While HCV activity was no longer a discard risk factor after policy change, a high KDPI score, and donor medical history remained strong predictors. A longer observation period is required to fully assess the policy’s impact on discard rate and/ or any unintended consequences. 

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