ICODEXTRIN USE IS ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED CARDIOVASCULAR RISK IN PERITONEAL DIALYSIS PATIENTS: A COMPETING RISK ANALYSIS

 

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https://storage.unitedwebnetwork.com/files/1099/38a7c0a232f4a99d9c1cefbff8d60897.pdf
ICODEXTRIN USE IS ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED CARDIOVASCULAR RISK IN PERITONEAL DIALYSIS PATIENTS: A COMPETING RISK ANALYSIS

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Naohiro
Muraki
Naohiro Muraki naomuraki0715@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan *
Naoto Hamano naojan26@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
Go Shimada goshimada0105@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
Daiki Matsumoto daikimusic8516@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
Ryohei Inanaga r.inanaga.kr@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
Katsuomi Matsui fybnt014@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
Michiya Shinozaki mshinozakimd@gmail.com Shin-yurigaoka general hospital Nephrology Kawasaki Japan -
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Icodextrin (Ico) is a key osmotic agent for managing fluid overload in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, which is expected to reduce heart failure risk. However, its association with overall cardiovascular (CV) risk remains controversial. Ico solutions contain 3.5 mEq/L of calcium, which may lead to a positive calcium balance if peritoneal convection is insufficient. We hypothesized that the use of Ico is associated with an increased risk of CV events, potentially mediated by an increased calcium load.

We retrospectively analyzed 156 incident PD patients from our center. We treated Ico exposure as a time-dependent variable, assessed every 6 months. The association between Ico use and the first CV event was evaluated using both a conventional Cox proportional hazards model and a Fine-Gray competing risk model. The Fine-Gray model accounted for competing events, including death, transfer to another facility, technical failure, and kidney transplantation. Models were adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, baseline BMI, and prior CV disease. A landmark analysis with a 6-month lag time was performed as a sensitivity analysis. Furthermore, the association between Ico use and serum corrected calcium levels was assessed using a linear mixed-effects model.

The median follow-up period was 22.0 (IQR: 7.3-38.4) months. During this period, 119 patients (76.3%) used Ico. A total of 46 patients developed a new CV event. Notably, a larger number of patients (n=53) experienced a competing event before developing CV events. In the conventional Cox model, Ico use was not significantly associated with CV events (HR 1.44, 95% CI: 0.68-3.05, p=0.34). However, the Fine-Gray model revealed a significant association between Ico use and a higher cumulative incidence of CV events (subdistribution HR [sHR] 2.91, 95% CI: 1.43-5.97, p=0.003). This tendency was consistent across all subgroups and in the 6-month lag time analysis. The linear mixed-effects model showed that Ico use was independently associated with higher serum corrected calcium levels (Coefficient 0.26, 95% CI: 0.17-0.35, p<0.001).

In our cohort of PD patients, Ico use was not associated with a reduced risk of CV events. The Fine-Gray model unmasked a significant association between Ico use and increased CV risk, which was obscured in the conventional Cox model due to a high rate of competing events. The observed association of Ico use with elevated serum calcium suggests that the potential calcium load may offset the benefits of ultrafiltration. This finding highlights a potential risk of Ico therapy and warrants further investigation.

Kewords