TRAJECTORIES OF CARDIOVASCULAR-KIDNEY-METABOLIC SYNDROME PROGRESSION: ROLES OF SOCIAL DETERMINANTS AND LIFESTYLE

 

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https://storage.unitedwebnetwork.com/files/1099/6864c4c6719849147d9cc5a36738105f.pdf
TRAJECTORIES OF CARDIOVASCULAR-KIDNEY-METABOLIC SYNDROME PROGRESSION: ROLES OF SOCIAL DETERMINANTS AND LIFESTYLE

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Shaoqing
Wei
Shaoqing Wei weishaoqing0316@163.com Peking University First Hospital Department of Nephrology Beijing China *
Wanzhou Wang xjswangwanzhou@pku.edu.cn Peking University National Institute of Health Data Science Beijing China - Peking University Health Science Center Institute of Medical Technology Beijing China
Fulin Wang wangfulin0103@163.com Peking University National Institute of Health Data Science Beijing China - Peking University Health Science Center Institute of Medical Technology Beijing China
Chao Yang yangchao@bjmu.edu.cn Peking University First Hospital Department of Nephrology Beijing China - Peking University First Hospital Center for Digital Health and Artificial Intelligence Beijing China
Feifei Zhang feifeizhang09@sina.com Peking University First Hospital Center for Digital Health and Artificial Intelligence Beijing China -
Luxia Zhang zhanglx@bjmu.edu.cn Peking University First Hospital Department of Nephrology Beijing China - Peking University National Institute of Health Data Science Beijing China Peking University First Hospital Center for Digital Health and Artificial Intelligence Beijing China
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a dynamic process characterized by complex pathophysiological interplays among metabolic dysregulation, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular dysfunction and contributes substantially to global disease burden. Evidence regarding the independent and joint impact of social determinants of health (SDOH) and lifestyle on longitudinal CKM trajectories remains limited. This study aims to elucidate the effects of these factors on CKM progression to inform early risk stratification and personalized management strategies.


A total of 48,446 participants with CKM Stage 1 from the UK Biobank were included. Participants were categorized into favourable, intermediate, and unfavourable SDOH groups based on tertiles of a composite score of baseline indicators. They were also stratified into healthy or unhealthy lifestyle groups based on a score derived from diet, sleep, physical activity, smoking, and alcohol status. Stages of CKM syndrome were determined based on biochemical criteria and International Classification of Disease (ICD)-10 codes. A multi-state model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for the impact of SDOH and lifestyle on CKM progression across the dynamic stages: Stage 1, Stage 2, Stage 4, and death.

During the follow-up, 6,865 (14.17%) Stage 1 participants progressed to Stage 2, ultimately resulting in 3,451 cases of Stage 4 and 1,943 deaths. Compared to the favourable SDOH group, the unfavourable SDOH group was associated with significantly elevated risks of CKM progression across major progression transitions, including Stage 1 to Stage 2 (HR[95% CI]:1.38 [1.30-1.46]), Stage 1 to Stage 4 (HR[95% CI]:1.12 [1.02-1.24]), Stage 2 to Stage 4 (HR[95% CI]:1.35 [1.14-1.61]), and Stage 4 to death (HR[95% CI]:1.68 [1.36-2.08]). Unhealthy lifestyle group was also associated with significantly higher risks than healthy lifestyle group for Stage 1 to Stage 2 (HR[95% CI]:1.17 [1.12-1.23]) and Stage 4 to death (HR[95% CI]:1.21 [1.02-1.43]). Most notably, compared to participants with favourable SDOH and healthy lifestyle, those with both unfavourable SDOH and unhealthy lifestyle had significantly higher risks of CKM progression across all stages, except for the transition from Stage 2 to death.


Our findings demonstrate that SDOH and lifestyle are collectively associated with the progression of CKM syndrome. The most vulnerable group is characterized by the joint presence of adverse SDOH and unhealthy lifestyle. This underscores the urgency of implementing integrated management strategies, as advocated in initiatives by the American Heart Association(AHA) and the International Society of Nephrology(ISN), to identify and protect vulnerable populations affected by adverse SDOH and unhealthy lifestyle.

Kewords