RENIN-ANGIOTENSIN SYSTEM INHIBITORS INITIATION AND MORTALITY IN NONPROTEINURIC CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE: A TARGET TRIAL EMULATION

 

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RENIN-ANGIOTENSIN SYSTEM INHIBITORS INITIATION AND MORTALITY IN NONPROTEINURIC CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE: A TARGET TRIAL EMULATION

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Fan
Luo
Fan Luo 17819566557@163.com Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University Division of Nephrology Guangzhou China *
Luhua Jin jlh@i.smu.edu.cn Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University Division of Nephrology Guangzhou China -
Shiyu Zhou zsygaza@163.com Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University Division of Nephrology Guangzhou China -
Sheng Nie niesheng0202@126.com Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University Division of Nephrology Guangzhou China -
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

There is a lack of evidence for initiating renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASIs) in patients with nonproteinuric chronic kidney disease (CKD).

We enrolled a retrospective cohort of patients with chronic kidney disease and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) of less than 30 mg/g from 28 medical centers across China. We emulated sequential target trials to evaluate the intent-to-treat effect of initiating RASIs on the all-cause and cardiovascular mortality The key elements of the target and emulated trials are summarized in Table 1. The Schematic illustration of emulated target trial design are showed in Figure1. The primary estimands were three-year risk differences between those with and without initiating the RASIs therapy. Additionally, we investigated the three-year risk difference of RASIs initiation on composite kidney outcomes defined as more than 25% decline in the estimated GFR with CKD stage deterioration or initiating kidney replacement therapy.

Table1. Specification and emulation of target trial

A total of 17,382 eligible person-trials (10,101 unique persons) were included. On enrollment, 2596 and 14,786 person-trials were assigned to the RASIs initiation group and the control group, respectively. The three-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 14.88% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.65% to 16.51%) and 18.26% (95% CI, 17.67% to 19.42%) in the RASIs initiation group and the control group, respectively, with a risk difference of −3.39% (95% CI, −4.71% to −2.07%). The significant benefit of RASIs initiation was also observed in terms of cardiovascular mortality, with a three-year risk difference of -1.46% (95%CI, -2.57% to -0.52%) (Table2). The curves of the adjusted cumulative incidences stratified by the two treatment groups were presented in Figure 2. Estimates from the subgroup (Figure3) and the pre-protocol analyses(Table 3) were consistent with the primary analysis. Similar trend of association was observed for the treatment initiation on composite kidney outcomes, though the three-year cumulative risk difference between groups did not reach statistical significance (risk difference, −0.88%; 95% CI, −2.42% to 1.40%) (Table4).

Table 2. Three-year cumulative incidences of outcomes and the risk differences among patients with renin-angiotensin system inhibitor initiation versus non-initiation.Table 3. Three-year cumulative incidences of outcomes and the risk differences among patients with renin-angiotensin system inhibitor initiation versus non-initiation in the per-protocol analysis.Table 4. Three-year cumulative incidences and the risk differences of CKD progression for renin-angiotensin system inhibitor initiation versus non-initiation.Figure 2. Three-year cumulative incidences and the risk differences of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors initiation versus control group.

Patients with nonproteinuric CKD may benefit from initiating RASIs for reducing risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Kewords