Effects of Incretin-based Therapies on Kidney Outcomes in Obese Patients without Diabetes

 

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https://storage.unitedwebnetwork.com/files/1099/0fda342bb99410665464299b28011fe5.pdf
Effects of Incretin-based Therapies on Kidney Outcomes in Obese Patients without Diabetes

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Kazuki
Nakayama
Takayuki Yamada taka.yamada0125@gmail.com Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan *
Shota Obata shotaggg622@gmail.com Stanford University School of Medicine Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Stanford, CA United States -
Shunichiro Tsukamoto t206044g@yokohama-cu.ac.jp Yokohama City University Department of Medical Science and Cardiorenal Medicine Yokohama Japan -
Yuki Kawai snow.ebi@gmail.com Saiseikai Yokohamashi Nanbu Hospital Department of Nephrology and Hypertension Yokohama Japan -
Kazushi Uneda uneda@fmu.ac.jp Aizu Medical Center, Fukushima Medical University Department of Kampo Medicine Aizuwakamatsu Japan -
Tetsuro Aoi tetsuro.aoi11@gmail.com Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan -
Kenta Okada cherry@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan -
Kazuki Nakayama kazuki.n.kyoto@gmail.com Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan *
Yuki Obayashi ooba@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan -
Yasuto Sunahara yasuto@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan -
Tomoharu Ida t-ida@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp Omihachiman Community Medical Center Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology Omihachiman Japan -
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Obesity is a global health burden and an important risk factor for cardiovascular and kidney disease. Obesity-related kidney injury develops through hyperfiltration, oxidative stress, and inflammation. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) and dual GLP-1/GIP agonists induce weight loss and improve renal outcomes in type 2 diabetes; however, their effects in obese individuals without diabetes remain unclear.

Electronic databases were searched through September 2025 for randomized controlled trials enrolling adults with obesity but without diabetes that reported kidney outcomes—estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR). Trials including patients with diabetes were excluded. Network meta-analyses were performed using R 4.4.1 (netmeta 2.3-0, gemtc 1.0-1) under random-effects models. Treatment effects were expressed as mean difference (MD) for eGFR and ratio of means (ROM) for UACR; treatment ranking was assessed using surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA).

Seven placebo-controlled trials were included (three with semaglutide, two with tirzepatide, and one with retatrutide). A total of 23,885 patients were analyzed. The mean age ranged from 44.9 to 65.3 years, the mean body mass index from 33.3 to 38.3 kg/m², and the mean eGFR was above 80 mL/min/1.73 m² in all studies except the SMART and SUMMIT trials (65 and 55.3, respectively). The mean UACR was below 30 mg/gCr in all trials except SMART (251 mg/gCr). Active agents reduced UACR vs placebo (ROM 0.68–0.88). Semaglutide showed the largest reduction (ROM 0.68 [95% CI 0.45–1.04]; SUCRA 0.76), followed by Retatrutide (0.71).
For eGFR, Retatrutide significantly improved eGFR (MD 8.45 mL/min/1.73 m², 95% CrI 3.52–13.38; SUCRA 0.995), with low heterogeneity (τ = 1.35, I² ≈ 21%). Semaglutide (SUCRA 0.36; MD 0.33 [–1.74, 2.12]) and Tirzepatide (0.49; 0.94 [–1.36, 3.85]) showed smaller, nonsignificant effects. Consistent findings across frequentist and Bayesian analyses strengthened result robustness.

Among obese adults without diabetes, Retatrutide produced the largest improvement in eGFR, while Semaglutide and Retatrutide most effectively reduced UACR. Incretin-based therapies may confer renal benefits beyond glycemic control, supporting further evaluation of dual GLP-1/GIP agonists in nondiabetic obesity-related kidney disease.

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