Impact of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome on Cancer Risk: A Real-World Database Study

 

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https://storage.unitedwebnetwork.com/files/1099/548e66fa881a0f87d98131d8d675b4e4.pdf
Impact of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome on Cancer Risk: A Real-World Database Study

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Tatsuhiko
Azegami
Tatsuhiko Azegami t.azegami-1114@keio.jp Keio University School of Medicine Division of Nephrology, Endocrinology, and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine Tokyo Japan *
Hidehiro Kaneko kanekohidehiro@gmail.com The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Yuta Suzuki szk.yutaf@gmail.com National Institute of Public Health Center for Outcomes Research and Economic Evaluation for Health Saitama Japan -
Akira Okada aokada@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Prevention of Diabetes and Lifestyle-Related Diseases Tokyo Japan -
Toshiyuki Ko toshiyuki_kou@yahoo.co.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Takahiro Jimba blackjtaka@yahoo.co.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Atsushi Mizuno atmizu@gmail.com St. Luke's International Hospital Department of Cardiology Tokyo Japan -
Katsuhiko Fujiu fujiu-tky@g.ecc.u-tokyo.ac.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Hiroyuki Morita hiroymorita@gmail.com The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Shinsuke Yuasa yuasa@okayama-u.ac.jp Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Okayama University Graduate School of Medicine, Dentistry, and Pharmaceutical Sciences Okayama Japan -
Koichi Node node@cc.saga-u.ac.jp Saga University Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Saga Japan -
Masaomi Nangaku mnangaku@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp The University of Tokyo Graduate School of Medicine Division of Nephrology and Endocrinology Tokyo Japan -
Norihiko Takeda ntakeda-tky@g.ecc.u-tokyo.ac.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Tokyo Japan -
Hideo Yasunaga yasunagah@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp The University of Tokyo Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics Tokyo Japan -
Kaori Hayashi kaorihayashi@keio.jp Keio University School of Medicine Division of Nephrology, Endocrinology, and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine Tokyo Japan -

Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a recently proposed framework that captures the interconnected pathophysiology of cardiovascular, kidney, and metabolic diseases. While these conditions share common risk factors with cancer, the association between CKM stage and cancer incidence remains unclear. We aimed to investigate this relationship in a large-scale, real-world Japanese population.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the nationwide administrative claims database (2014–2023), which integrates health checkup and insurance claims data. Individuals with prior cancer or missing covariates were excluded. A total of 1,390,901 participants were classified into CKM stages 0–4 according to the 2023 American Heart Association statement, incorporating cardiometabolic risk factors, chronic kidney disease, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. The primary outcome was incident cancer, defined by ICD-10 codes C00–C97. Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for demographic, clinical, and lifestyle factors. Subgroup analyses by age and sex and multiple sensitivity analyses using alternative CKM definitions were performed.

Over a median follow-up of 3.4 years, the incidence of cancer clearly differed by CKM stage, with particularly higher rates observed in Stages 3 and 4. Adjusted HRs (95% CI) compared with Stage 0 were: 1.03 (0.99–1.08) for Stage 1, 1.02 (0.99–1.05) for Stage 2, 1.25 (1.21–1.29) for Stage 3, and 1.30 (1.25–1.35) for Stage 4. The dose–response association was consistent across cancer types, including colorectal, lung, stomach, liver, kidney, and bladder cancers, and was particularly strong among men and individuals aged <65 years (P for interaction <0.001 for both). Sensitivity analyses using the Suita Score, Hisayama Risk Score, PREVENT equations, and alternative CVD definitions confirmed the robustness of the findings.

Advancing CKM stage was significantly associated with increased risk of incident cancer in this nationwide cohort. These findings expand the clinical relevance of the CKM framework beyond cardiovascular and kidney outcomes to oncologic risk, underscoring the need for integrated risk stratification and prevention strategies in multimorbid populations. Incorporating cancer prevention into CKM management may improve long-term health outcomes and guide multidisciplinary approaches in clinical practice.

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