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Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetes have significant health and well-being impacts on Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander populations. Although routine clinical tests modestly predict CKD progression, assessment of other biomarkers is warranted as there is an increasing appreciation that myocardial and renal microvascular disease driven by subclinical inflammation may be the link that explains the tight relation between dysfunction in the heart and kidney. Few studies have assessed novel biomarkers concurrently in populations with and without diabetes, which is vital to determining risk factor correlations. This study investigates the relationships of cardio-metabolic and inflammatory biomarkers with the decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) among Australia’s First Nations People, with and without diabetes.
The prospective eGFR study cohort recruited participants according to diabetes and/or kidney function strata. Multivariable linear regression estimated change in 2009 CKD-Epi eGFR creatinine-based formula (ml/min/1.73m2/year) according to baseline plasma kidney injury molecule-1 (pKIM-1) (pg/ml), soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTNFR-1) (pg/ml), high-sensitivity troponin-T (hs-TnT) (ng/L) and troponin-I (hs-TnI) (ng/L) after adjusting for baseline factors.
Over three years, individuals with diabetes (n=155), but not those without diabetes (n=232), exhibited a greater eGFR decline for higher levels of pKIM-1 (-1.5 [95% CI: -3.2 to 0.1], p=0.07), sTNFR-1 (-3.6 [-6.7 to -0.4], p=0.03), hs-TnT >5.4ng/L (-3.6 [-6.9 to -0.2], p=0.04) and hs-TnT >10.0ng/L (-6.1 [-9.8 to -2.4], p=0.001) compared to hs-TnT ≤3.0ng/L, after adjusting for eGFR, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR), age, sex and biomarker levels. Baseline age, sex, eGFR, and uACR explained 14% of the variance in eGFR decline, and adding pKIM-1, hs-TnT, and sTNFR-1 increased this to 24% (p=0.002). Associations remained after adjustment for several clinical covariables or using the 2021 CKD-Epi eGFR creatinine-based formula. hs-TnI showed no significant association with eGFR decline in individuals with or without diabetes.
This study suggests that cardio-metabolic and inflammatory biomarkers may improve prediction of kidney disease progression among Australian first nation people with diabetes.